Tuesday, June 24, 2014
Thursday, February 20, 2014
Efficiency of final delivered goods and services and of actual end use is 1 to 2 percent :India
This is a good discussion of the players in the thoroughly discredited modern civilization(mc) as it is played out in the new millennium. Bharat J discusses elements of a normal civilization(nc) when he writes about jobless growth and weavers, without going into the details of the glaring lacuna of the designs and their implementations in trying to meet the needs of mc.
This was perspicaciously brought out by Mahatma Gandhi in 1908, taking one look at mc. He said: Given enough time mc will destroy itself. There is a felt painful need to make a new law which will force the designs to enable production, consumption and RETURN, instead of waste because of Gandhi's law as stated above. Today, because of the imperfect knowledge(read corrupted truth) portions of modern civilization are exerting increasingly greater cumulative effects on one another leading to catastrophes: Example: the dams of the world are supposed to meet our water needs including spiking electricity demands. But the side effects are catastrophic: direct heating up of the earth, aggravating the extremes of weather in hydrological cycles leading to climate change, earthquakes which by a nuclear effect are causing nuclear catastrophes like Chernobyl, Fukushima and dam surge effects like at Kedarnath, and explosions in underground nuclear waste depositories like at Kyshtym and WIPP, New Mexico, mine explosions, spontaneous fires, arctic blasts and others. Growth must also be in the gross nature produce, not just mining our resources for evil profiteering. The utter neglect of lost opportunity in destroying nature instead of living by income from her is lost in mc which sees human beings and other embodiments of living energy as a liability. The need is to recognise the infintely superior godly design of living beings. Their outputs are precious, their excreta when returned to the earth are seamlessly used again to enable the production process of, for example food, to go on indefinitely. The parallel economy of mc is in direct contrast to that of normal civilization in harmony with nature. Neither modification or har-vard is the way. Its hariward- Ishvara life cycle that demands respect and implementation.
But look at the way the government of India through M oily and Manmohan Singh are going against the constitution and the Human Rights Charter of the UN:
PMO pulled out all stops to weaken eco, forest norms
The dangers of modern civilization are highlighted in the following discussion on efficiency of modern civilization which neglects the cycle of life and concentrates only on production, consumption and waste instead of return.
If an electrical energy programme is to deliver 83000 MW by 2017 the efficiency of final delivered goods and services and of end use may be as low as 1 to 2 percent. See Table EFDGSU:
A huge electrical energy programme slated to deliver a capacity of 83000 MW by 2017 including some 10080 MW nuclear may foreclose many a development project and concentrate only on energy resulting in huge non performing assets.
Instead, on the same total area, forests will deliver a permanent returning power flow of 2 million megawatts in a decade at the rate of 40 MW/km^2 area demanded by nuclear and fossil and hydro plants. This is the lost opportunity which must be factored in as is done below.
This is revealed by an Input Output analysis of the Indian Economy and a look at the 12th Five
Year Plan and the energy audit of the Indian Nuclear Programme.
In the table below, the items for the year 2003-2004 are in percentage terms as given in the first reference. That is if goods and services are 1800 with 100% for each item of goods and services then energy component of this is 449.9 got by adding up the energy component in percent for each item of goods and services. So if the goods and services in 2003-04 measured 1800 lakh crores of rupees, the total of the energy components is 449.9 lakh crores of rupees. For all the other items(for the period 2012-2017), the items are estimated actuals, except for the computed efficiencies.
For information on Project cost and time in public sector see
Sebastian Morris.1990.“Cost and Time Overruns in Public Sector Projects”, in
Economic and Political Weekly, Nov.24, 1990, Vol. XXV, No.47,pp.M-154 to M-
In the 12th Five Year Plan the Incremental Capital Output Ratio ICOR is the highest so far(4.6, estimated)!
(Second Reference given in the table).
Sunday, February 02, 2014
Much of India's Rural Areas still await electricity and nuclear energy programme will push the wait to eternity!
conceptualized Indian development, and huge sums were spent on the
project from independence until now," says Sunila S. Kale, assistant
professor of international studies. "Yet despite all this, nearly 400
million Indians have no access to electricity. Although India has less
than a fifth of the world's population, it has close to 40 percent of
the world's population without access to electricity."
Kale explores some of the reasons for India's lag in providing
electrical power <http://phys.org/tags/electrical+power/> in her book
/Electrifying India: Regional Political Economies of Development/, to be
published by Stanford University Press in Spring 2014. The book has
already garnered a top award from the American Institute for Indian Studies.
See the link:
Considering a nuclear energy programme of 24000 MW capacity addition during the next 28 years from 2014 to 2042,by the 23rd year of the programme, some 60000 MWyears of the energy-capacity would have been siphoned off to the n-programme. Also the electrical All India Capacity available to society in the form of thermal+ hydro is reduced from 200000 MW by 6666 MW, being the nuclear industry need(NID), the maximum being 10600 MW NID in the 18th and 19th years of the programme!
Note from the Table that during the entire 28 years of the programme not a single unit of electricity will be available to consumers outside the nuclear industry! For 28 years till 2042!
That is why the real price of nuclear electricity for India will be infinity!
Tuesday, January 21, 2014
Nukes the biggest non performing assets- they will never perform. RBI please outlaw these NPAs now.
R. Ashok Kumar, B.E.,M.E(Power), Negentropist, Bombay Sarvodaya Mandal, 299, Tardeo Road, Nana Chowk, Mumbai-400007.
Thursday, May 09, 2013
Right to life prevails absolutely over nuclear energy programmes.
By P K Sundaram
Quote 1:"The Supreme Court’s verdict on Koodankulam rests on three hugely contested premises: the judges’ belief in the necessity of the nuclear energy for India’s progress, their faith in the country’s nuclear establishment to perform its role, and the judges’ notion of the larger public interest and the apprehensions of small sections which should make way for the country’s progress. Not only have the judges given judicial sanctity to these contestable propositions, but have also completely overlooked the Koodankulam-specific brazen violations of the government’s own norms, raised by the petitioners."
Regarding 'the judges’ notion of the larger public interest and the apprehensions of small sections which should make way for the country’s progress.', we can dismiss this notion by the argument of the energy audit and health considerations above by stating that there is no benefit at all to society by incurring contamination of our bodies by nuclear fuel cycles because the energy delivered to society is much less than the energy consumed by the nuclear industry. It is thus a question of avoiding useless actions while preserving health on a permanent basis.
Thus right to all life absolutely prevails regarding the nuclear energy programs as well as nuclear weapons. Thus nuclear energy should never be an option and regarding nuclear weapons, there must be 100 % nuclear disarmament worldwide.
Friday, March 22, 2013
The water shortage in the world is due to the nuclear fuel cycles,stop them and save life.
© 2013 Ramaswami Ashok Kumar
Thursday, February 07, 2013
The Nadir of Nukes: They murder. Stop them now.
Commentary by Ramaswami Ashok Kumar
© 2013 Ramaswami Ashok Kumar
This is an excellent article highlighting why the Kudankulam questions are destined to reset the nuclear priorities and hence of the excesses of modern civilization in India and the world. And there are many new ones which have intensified the cumulative effects of many interventions of man into nature, resulting in the rape of Mother Earth, rendering many a habitat of life unusable, and many systems to meet the felt needs of greedy excesses of modern specialist societies going far beyond the design basis limits of operation. I have shown in peer reviewed articles why nuclear energy programmes consume more energy and power than they produce from year to year.Google search for energy audit of the indian nuclear programme for details. Thus we will forever be supplying energy and power to the nuclear programmes ad infinitum and will be forever short of electricity. This will mean ever more nukes on Mother Earth poisoning and converting us all life into nuclear wastes. Nukes therefore economicswise and healthwise compromise our very basis of existence, rendering all the web of nature radioactive. That is why the late Chair of USNRC Dr John W Gofman remarked in 1979 itself:"There is no way I can justify my failure to help sound an alarm over these activities many years sooner than I did. I feel that at least several hundred scientists trained in biomedical aspects of atomic energy-myself included-are candidates for Nuremburg type trials for crimes against humanity for our gross negligence and irresponsibility. [But] now we know the hazards of low-dose radiation, the crime is not experimentation, it's murder."
1993,03,30,214321.16, 42.994, 145.320,5.0, 94,PDE
1993,03,30,222522.10, 38.379, 45.047,4.5, 45,PDE
As the water moment arm moved from longitude 145 to longitude 45, it struck Narora(Latitude = 28.1967, Longitude = 78.3814 ) turbine foundation at 2215 UTC on 30 March 1993 to throw the turbine off balance and the rest is history! Of course the cracks might have been waiting for just such a trigger!
For comparison see what could have happened to the Mumbai Bridge near the airport on 6 Feb 2013:
2013-02-06 17:19:31.0 11.66 S 165.06 E 10 5.0 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS
2013-02-06 17:14:14.1 38.74 N 40.28 E 5 1.8 EASTERN TURKEY
by analogy. Data from EMSC(Google search).
The location of Bridge Collapse: Latitude = 19.1173, Longitude = 72.8840
Let us analyse a little to see the logic of this scientific assertion.
Let us compute the distances.
Taking Narora first:
The distance from the Japanese location 42.994, 145.320 to the Turkey Location 38.379, 45.047 is 7919 km.
The distance from the Japanese location to Narora is
The ratio is 6103/7919 =
The time of start of Narora occurrence is given as 3 hrs 31 mins IST 31 March 1993 or 22 hrs 01 mins UTC.
Thus the surge has arrived some 15 minutes earlier than the linear proportion time computed or is off by .25/22.016 x 100 = 1.13% !
Whether this is a fluke can be determined by arbitrarily choosing the Mumbai bridge collapse of 6 February at 2245 hrs IST or 1715 hrs UTC.
The distance to Santa Cruz Islands quake location from that of E.Turkey is 13802 km. The distance to Marol bridge collapse location from that of East Turkey is 3815 km.
The distance ratio is
The bridge actually is reported to have collapsed at 17 hrs 15 mins UTC(22hrs 45 mins IST).
Thus our computation is out by 0.067% !
The dynamics of dams are thus implicated quite deterministically as my deep study on dams indicates.
The year 1993 has been a year of high stress for Mother Earth because of the catastrophic dam initiated surges which caused a number of earthquakes called damquakes by me for short.
See the compliation of data on significant earthquakes,1993(USGS) at
Notice that there have been one major damquake in January 1993 on the 15th,one on March 6 1993,one on June 8 1993,
one(7.6 MM,shallow 17 km deep at Hokkaido,Japan) on July 12 1993 which killed 200 people including about 165 at Okushiri.One person on a fishing boat was killed off Aomori, Honshu. Three people were missing from the southeast coast of Russia. Severe damage (V JMA) was caused by the earthquake and accompanying fires, landslides and tsunami in southwestern Hokkaido. 540 houses were destroyed and 1,834 others were damaged. Approximately 600 fishing boats were damaged or lost off western Japan, southeastern Russia and South Korea. Tsunami wave heights as high as 30.6 meters was reported along the southwest coast of Okushiri Island, 10 meters along the west coast of Hokkaido, 3 meters at Nakhodka, Russia, 2 meters along the northeast coast of South Korea and nearly 1 meter at Aomori, Honshu. The tsunami affected much of the southeastern coast of Russia and also caused damage to a factory at Kamenka, Sakhalin Island.And look at this great 8 MM damquake on 8/8/1993:
08 08:34:24.9 12.982 144.801 59 G 7.1 8.0 1.1 438 SOUTH OF MARIANA ISLANDS. Mw 7.5 (GS), 7.8 (HRV). Ms 8.2 (BRK). Mo=2.2*10**20 Nm (GS). Mo=5.2*10**20 Nm (HRV). Mo=7.8*10**20 Nm (OBN). Mo=9.0*10**20 Nm (PPT). Forty-eight people injured on Guam. Extensive damage (IX) to hotels in the Tumon Bay area. Cracks tens of meters long and 25-50 cm wide, caused by liquefaction in the underlying soil, damaged facilities at the commercial port and naval base at Apra Harbor. Damage (VII) occurred at several locations in the northern half of the island. One end of the approach to a bridge at Pago Bay fell more than 35 cm. Many landslides and rockslides were reported, mainly in the southern half of the island. The preliminary estimate of loss from damage to commercial buildings is placed at 112 million U.S. dollars and loss from damage to private residences is estimated at several million U.S. dollars. Slight damage (V) on Saipan. Felt (VI) on Rota and (V) on Tinian. Tsunami generated with maximum wave heights at selected tide stations as follows: 98 cm at Muroto-misaki, Shikoku; 68 cm on Chichi-shima, Bonin Islands; 58 cm at Tosashimizu, Shikoku; 56 cm at Aburatsu, Kyushu; 46 cm at Mera and Owase, Honshu; 44 cm at Ayukawahama, Honshu; 42 cm at Omae-zaki, Honshu; 34 cm at Hanasaki and Kushimoto, Honshu, 34 cm at Hirara, Ryukyu Islands; 28 cm at Ofunato, Honshu; 24 cm at Kochi, Shikoku; 19 cm at Port Allen, Kauai; 15 cm at Lahania, Maui; 14 cm at Haleiwa, Oahu; 12 cm at Hachinohe, Honshu and Kahului, Maui; 7 cm at Kapoho, Hawaii and Nawiliwili, Kauai; 5 cm at Honokohau, Hawaii.
And look at this in New Zealand(10 August):
10 00:51:53.2 -45.277 166.927 28 G 6.2 7.0 1.1 420 OFF WEST COAST OF SOUTH ISLAND, NEW ZEALAND. Mw 7.0 (GS), 7.0 (HRV). Mo=3.3*10**19 Nm (GS). Mo=3.3*10**19 Nm (HRV). Mo=4.0*10**19 Nm (PPT). Felt (VI) on South Island within 150 km of the epicenter. Power outages reported in the Te Anau area. Felt throughout South Island and in southern North Island. Also felt at Sydney, Australia.On the 10th September 1993 a major damquake struck at Chiapas, Mexico.
And we have the disaster in Latur, Maharashtra which was felt by us in Navi Mumbai when the beds vibrated early in the morning of 30th September 1993(IST):
29 22:25:48.6 18.066 76.451 7 G 6.3 6.2 1.0 625 SOUTHERN INDIA. Mw 6.2 (GS), 6.2 (HRV). Mo=1.9*10**18 Nm (GS). Mo=2.2*10**18 Nm (HRV). Mo=3.1*10**18 Nm (PPT). Nine thousand seven hundred forty-eight people killed, about 30,000 injured and extreme devastation in the Latur-Osmanabad area. Nearly all buildings were destroyed in the village of Killari. Felt in large parts of central and southern India, including Bangalore, Bombay, Hyderabad and Madras.And this in the Eastern New Guinea Region on 13 Oct 1993:
13 02:06:00.3 -5.889 146.020 25 G 6.4 7.0 1.3 423 EASTERN NEW GUINEA REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA. Mw 6.6 (GS), 6.9 (HRV). Ms 7.2 (BRK). ML 7.1 (PMG). Mo=8.1*10**18 Nm (GS). Mo=2.5*10**19 Nm (HRV). Mo=1.4*10**19 Nm (PPT). Sixty people were killed and several injured in the Upper Markham Valley. Large landslides blocked the Ume River and contributed to many of the casualties.
Oh! The whole thing is not a fluke, as we at Countercurrent themes would like to point out scientifically. And as Gofman would put it , the science is only semi prudent when there are uncertainties. We must in such cases apply the precautionary principle and stop making the choice till the matter is resolved by designing around our ignorance! See by google search Collaterals of Climate change for a taste of the problem of cumulative positive feedback effects in a society of specialists. So on and on. Either we live or the excesses of modern civilization. We want to live! Stop nukes and instead of dams Reforest Mother Earth to Live!(Google search).
And on 2 October 2013 lets remember Mahatma Gandhi's warning: